It's a Monday night prop night in the NBA best bets column, as I have three players to target for the Game 4 action between the New York Knicks and Miami Heat and Los Angeles Lakers and Golden State Warriors.
While I think the Warriors are in a good spot to win on Monday (28-9 following a playoff loss in the Steph Curry era), that may be a play I place later in the night, so check in on my Twitter @peterdewey2 for live updates.
Let's break down these props, which are focused on the defensive end of the floor:
NBA best bets record to date
- NBA best bets record for 2022-23 season: 323-285-4 (+11.1274 units)
NBA best bets today
- Julius Randle OVER 8.5 Rebounds (-145)
- Julius Randle Alt Rebounds 10+ (+110) – 0.5 unit
- Andrew Wiggins OVER 5.5 Rebounds (-130)
- Anthony Davis OVER 4.5 Steals and Blocks (+105)
Julius Randle OVER 8.5 Rebounds (-145) and 10+ Rebounds
Since returning to the lineup for the Knicks in Game 2, Julius Randle has recorded 12 and 14 rebounds for New York.
He's dominating the glass even with Mitchell Robinson in the lineup, who has been held to just five boards in each of the last two games.
Randle has been relentless in his pursuit of rebounds all season, averaging over 10 per game, and I think he's undervalued in this prop given the fact that he's playing close to 40 minutes per night.
I don't mind sprinkling on him to get 10+, since we're already asking for nine, at +110. I'll only put a half unit on that though.
Andrew Wiggins OVER 5.5 Rebounds (-130)
Andrew Wiggins has played 10 playoff games this season, averaging 6.0 rebounds per game and clearing this line in six of his 10 games. He's also gone over it in six of his last eight for Golden State.
In Game 3, Wiggins picked up nine boards in a playoff-low 27:50 of playing time.
If Golden State doesn't get blown out, I expect Wiggins to play a ton with this being as close to a must-win for the Warriors as possible.
Wiggins dominated on the glass last postseason, and he seems to be getting back to his old ways as of late, despite a down Game 2 in that department.
Anthony Davis OVER 4.5 Steals and Blocks (+105)
Call him Anthony "Every Other Day" Davis all you want, but the defensive effort hasn't changed for AD this postseason.
The Lakers have played nine playoff games, and Davis has put up at least five combined steals and blocks in six of them.
He's been a menace on defense even if his shot isn't falling, averaging an absurd 4.1 blocks and 1.3 steals per game in the playoffs.
The Warriors don't have much size, so Davis is going to get some easy blocks based on his height advantage, so I'll ride with him clear this at plus money.
—
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.